Stock Trader's Almanac 2014
Jeffrey A. Hirsch
A time-tested guide to stock trading market cycles and seasonal trends
Published every year since 1968, the Stock Trader's Almanac is a practical investment tool with a wealth of information organized in calendar format. Everyone from well-known money managers to savvy traders and investors relies upon this annual resource for its in-depth analyses and insights. The Stock Trader's Almanac 2014 contains essential historical price information on the stock market, provides monthly and daily reminders, and highlights seasonal trading opportunities and dangers.
The STA is now bound with a lexitone cover and an attractive gold spiral with gold foil stamping. This new format is more user-friendly and lies flat when open, easier for making notes. It is also lighter and more portable. This version harkens back to the original STA format that Yale Hirsch pioneered over 40 years ago.
The Stock Trader's Almanac 2014 is packed with timely insights and targeted analysis to help you navigate turbulent markets and beat the odds in the year ahead. This trusted guide combines over a century's worth of data, statistics, and trends along with vital analysis you won't get anywhere else.
- Alerts you to little-known market patterns and tendencies to help forecast market trends with accuracy and confidence
- An indispensable annual resource, trusted for over 40 years by traders and investors
- The data in the Almanac is some of the best in the business
For its wealth of information and the authority of its sources, the Stock Trader's Almanac stands alone as the guide to intelligent investing.
killer” and turned the tide in 12 post-WWII bear markets: 1946, 1957, 1960, 1962, 1966, 1974, 1987, 1990, 1998, 2001, 2002, and 2011 First October Dow top in 2007, 20-year 1987 Crash anniversary −2.6% Worst six months of the year ends with October (page 48) No longer worst month (pages 44 & 56) Best Dow, S&P, and NASDAQ month from 1993 to 2007 Midterm election year Octobers since 1950, #1 Dow (+3.2%), #1 S&P (3.4%), and #1 NASDAQ (4.3) October is a great time to buy Big October gains five years
sector strength or weakness. By design, entry points are in advance of the major seasonal moves, providing traders ample opportunity to accumulate positions at favorable prices. Conversely, exit points have been selected to capture the majority of the move. From the major seasonalities in the table below, we created the Sector Index Seasonality Strategy Calendar on pages 94 and 96. Note the concentration of bullish sector seasonalities during the Best Six Months, November to April, and bearish
is that it will go up, down, or sideways. Many investors agree that no one ever really knows which way the market will move. Nothing could be further from the truth. We discovered that while stocks do indeed fluctuate, they do so in well-defined, often predictable patterns. These patterns recur too frequently to be the result of chance or coincidence. How else do we explain that since 1950 all the gains in the market were made during November through April, compared to a loss May through
WORST WEEKS BY PERCENT AND POINT 10 BEST MONTHS BY PERCENT AND POINT 10 WORST MONTHS BY PERCENT AND POINT 10 BEST QUARTERS BY PERCENT AND POINT 10 WORST QUARTERS BY PERCENT AND POINT 10 BEST YEARS BY PERCENT AND POINT 10 WORST YEARS BY PERCENT AND POINT DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS ONE-YEAR SEASONAL PATTERN CHARTS SINCE 1901 S&P 500 ONE-YEAR SEASONAL PATTERN CHARTS SINCE 1930 NASDAQ, RUSSELL 1000 & 2000 ONE-YEAR SEASONAL PATTERN CHARTS SINCE 1971
minus 13.9%, providing excellent buying opportunities later in most years. FROM DOWN JANUARY S&P CLOSES TO LOW NEXT 11 MONTHS APRIL TOP PERFORMING MONTHS PAST 63 YEARS: STANDARD & POOR'S 500 AND DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS Monthly performance of the S&P and the Dow are ranked over the past 63 years. NASDAQ monthly performance is shown on page 56. April, November, and December still hold the top three positions in both the Dow and the S&P. March has reclaimed the fourth spot on the